BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Arkansas St

Class: 1 Class Rank: 170 Overall: (13-17) Overall Strength =   29.33
Conference: Sunbelt Record: (6-13) | District: 1-02 Record: (12-16)

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-06-2023 Away    L    34.60  42  55    1  61 ( 27-  6) S Dakota St             5.27    -18.27                      
  2 11-09-2023 Home    W    32.46  75  62    1 251 ( 15- 16) Northern Illinois       3.13      9.87                      
  3 11-17-2023 Home    L    25.42  67  82    1  68 ( 18- 15) Arkansas               -3.91    -11.09                      
  4 11-21-2023 Home    W    39.69  95  15   ZZ 227 (  0-  2) Hendrix                10.36 *   69.64                      
  5 11-28-2023 Home    W    45.52  85  65    1 183 ( 17- 16) Ark Pine Bluff         16.19      3.81                      
  6 12-02-2023 Away    L    17.87  57  62    1 266 ( 12- 20) Missouri KC           -11.46      6.46                      
  7 12-09-2023 Home    W    38.13  69  58    1 164 ( 14- 19) Louisiana Tech          8.80      2.20                      
  8 12-14-2023 Home    W    22.14  82  78 1  1 258 ( 12- 18) North Alabama          -7.20     11.20                      
  9 12-17-2023 Home    W    35.99  74  59    1 233 ( 12- 18) Ark Little Rock         6.65      8.35                      
 10 12-21-2023 Home    L    17.44  62  67    1 225 ( 16- 17) TN Martin             -11.89      6.89                      
 11 12-30-2023 Home    W *  31.29  81  73    1 217 ( 12- 21) Coastal Car             1.96      6.04                      
 12 01-04-2024 Away    L *  32.26  57  64    1 114 ( 23- 12) James Madison           2.93     -9.93                      
 13 01-06-2024 Away    L *  27.56  51  68    1  75 ( 26-  7) Marshall               -1.77    -15.23                      
 14 01-11-2024 Home    W *  48.65  73  48    1 212 ( 14- 18) Texas St               19.32      5.68                      
 15 01-13-2024 Home    L *  25.87  63  64    1 168 ( 17- 14) Louisiana              -3.46      2.46                      
 16 01-17-2024 Away    W *  28.15  78  69    1 305 (  9- 23) South Alabama          -1.18     10.18                      
 17 01-20-2024 Away    W *  32.94  57  53    1 212 ( 14- 18) Texas St                3.61      0.39                      
 18 01-25-2024 Away    L *  27.81  76  84    1 138 ( 21- 14) ULM                    -1.52     -6.48                      
 19 01-27-2024 Away    L *  33.15  84  91 1  1 107 ( 22- 12) Troy                    3.81    -10.81                      
 20 01-31-2024 Home    W *  25.86  73  61    1 305 (  9- 23) South Alabama          -3.48     15.48                      
 21 02-03-2024 Home    W *  44.49  76  63    1 132 ( 22- 10) Old Dominion           15.16     -2.16                      
 22 02-07-2024 Away    L *  28.06  56  58    1 193 ( 15- 15) Georgia St             -1.27     -0.73                      
 23 02-10-2024 Away    W    39.01  81  67    1 249 ( 11- 18) Akron                   9.68      4.32                      
 24 02-15-2024 Away    L *  26.60  48  57    1 142 ( 20- 14) Southern Miss          -2.73     -6.27                      
 25 02-17-2024 Away    L *  19.16  46  59    1 168 ( 17- 14) Louisiana             -10.17     -2.83                      
 26 02-21-2024 Home    L *  22.85  65  77    1 107 ( 22- 12) Troy                   -6.48     -5.52                      
 27 02-24-2024 Home    L *  19.31  59  70    1 142 ( 20- 14) Southern Miss         -10.02     -0.98                      
 28 02-27-2024 Home    L *  21.52  60  69    1 138 ( 21- 14) ULM                    -7.82     -1.18                      
 29 03-01-2024 Home    L *  19.62  57  64    1 171 ( 17- 15) Appalachian St         -9.71      2.71                      
 30 03-06-2024 Neutral L *  16.52  41  54    1 168 ( 17- 14) Louisiana             -12.82     -0.18                      
      Averages              29.33  66.3 63.9

Best game:   48.65 = 25 point win over Texas St
Worst game:  16.52 = 13 point loss to Louisiana
Team stdev:   8.73